One of the most controversial elements of the NBA is the draft lottery, a system that allows all teams that don’t make the postseason a chance at the first overall pick in the upcoming draft. The lottery usually gives way to conspiracy theories, like the bent envelope in the 1985 lottery that netted the Knicks the first pick to draft Patrick Ewing. Considering that the worst team in the league has only won the first pick four times in the 30 years of the lottery, little has been done to quell the uproar from fans that occurs more often than not following the lottery proceedings. For example, in the past ten draft lotteries, only three times has a team won the lottery with more than the fifth best chance. During that span, Cleveland won the lottery three times, with the third, eighth and ninth worst record. While it certainly keeps it exciting for the fans of teams like the Oklahoma City Thunder, who own a 0.5 % chance of winning tonight’s lottery, despite owning a 45-37 record and a roster boasting the likes of Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, it’s tough to think that a team like that could win the lottery (although the lowest percent chance of a winning team was Orlando in 1995 with a 1.52% chance), pushing teams with true needs further down the draft order.
How the lottery works
Based on overall record, from worst on up, each of the 14 teams that have been at home since the second week of April are assigned number combinations. There are 14 ping pong balls, numbered 1 through 14, and the combinations are assembled by drawing four of these balls at once. There are 1,001 possible combinations and 1,000 of them are assigned to teams. Continue reading